Nobody wants to think too much about it, but the long term weather prediction for Texoma includes more rain. Maybe a LOT more rain.

I posted a map of Texas created by The University of Texas at Austin, predicting a 90% chance of a wet summer through July 2015. And this is still June.

And today I read the SAROS long term weather forecast in our paper copy of Blum’s Farmer’s and Planter’s Almanac for 2015, which was none too encouraging right now either. It is prepared by Philip S. Wood. Here are some quotes:

JULY – “Heavy downpours could cause flash flooding into previously parched areas. The net effect of the extremes in precipitation is that most states will end up wetter than usual…”

AUGUST – “Monsoonal downpours will cause flooding in parts of the West and Southwest.”

SEPTEMBER – “Monsoon activity in the Southwest will likely continue with some fields getting four times the usual amounts of rain.”

OCTOBER – “Extra heavy rain could be heading for parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Alabama and Georgia.”

Turns out, the SAROS weather forecast method is nothing new. If you are wondering how the heck anyone can predict the weather so far in advance, here’s a clue from Philp S Wood:

“Lunar gravitation affects the major circulation patterns of the earth's oceans and atmosphere.  Thus, large scale weather events can be predicted with some accuracy if one looks back at the country's weather 18.03 years ago.

“The strength of lunar gravitation will be peaking during 2015 around the new moon on February 18th and the full moon on September 28th.  In the wakes of these tidal peaks, air mass interactions will intensify while more sluggish weather patterns will be associated with times of weakest lunar gravitational pull.”

So, it’s a moon cycle thing, all this heavy rain and flooding.

What do you think?  Got any better information on the long term weather forecast?